Study Details

Study Title: Investigating the effectiveness of safety countermeasures at highway-rail at-grade crossings using a competing risk model

Authors: Keramati et al.

Publication Date:SEP, 2021

Abstract: Introduction: Highway-rail at-grade crossings (HRGCs) are critical locations where a railway and a roadway intersect with one another. Crashes at those locations often result in fatalities and economic and social damages due to the impacts on both road and rail users. The main purpose of countermeasures at HRGCs is to permit safe and efficient rail and highway operations. Method: Countermeasures at highway-rail grade crossings (HRGCs) considered in this study include all traffic control devices and other warning and barrier devices at or on approaches to crossings. In general, active devices are commonly accepted as more effective countermeasures than passive devices. However, many of the previous effectiveness studies are either at the project level or were conducted without considering the before improvement condition. This study focuses on the network-level marginal effectiveness of countermeasures on crash rate and severity levels during the 29-year study period from 1990 to 2018 by fully considering before-improvement control levels. A competing risk model (CRM) is able to accommodate the competing nature of crash severities as multiple outcomes from the same event of interest, which is crash occurrence in this study. Subsequently, CRM is used in this study as an integrated one-step estimation approach that investigates both crash frequency and severity likelihood over time. Results: The study findings indicate that adding audible devices to crossings already equipped with gates will result in a considerable annual decline in crash occurrence likelihood (0.25%). The same device installed at crossings already controlled by gates and flashing lights results in less reduction in crash occurrence likelihood of 0.14%. Moreover, adding a stop sign to the active crossing controls of gates, standard flashing lights, and audible devices will lead to a decrease in the probability of crash occurrence and severe crashes (injury and fatal). However, adding stop signs to crossings equipped only with crossbucks will increase the crash occurrence.

Study Citation: Keramati, A., P. Lu, Y. Ren, D. Tolliver, and C. Ai. "Investigating The Effectiveness Of Safety Countermeasures At Highway-Rail At-Grade Crossings Using A Competing Risk Model". Journal of Safety Research, Vol. 78, (2021) pp. 251–261.


CMFs Associated With This Study

Category: Railroad grade crossings

Countermeasure: Install audible devices

CMF CRF(%)QualityCrash TypeCrash SeverityRoadway TypeArea Type
0.9960.433 StarsAllONot specified
1-0.0023 StarsAllA,B,CNot specified
1.003-0.283 StarsAllKNot specified
0.9990.143 StarsAllAllNot specified
0.991.033 StarsAllONot specified
1.008-0.783 StarsAllA,B,CNot specified
103 StarsAllKNot specified
0.9980.253 StarsAllAllNot specified

Countermeasure: Install gates

CMF CRF(%)QualityCrash TypeCrash SeverityRoadway TypeArea Type
1.0083-0.833 StarsAllOAll
0.9851.523 StarsAllOAll
0.9990.123 StarsAllA,B,CAll
10.053 StarsAllKAll
1.007-0.663 StarsAllAllAll
1.004-0.453 StarsAllA,B,CAll
1.003-0.283 StarsAllKAll
0.9920.793 StarsAllAllAll

Countermeasure: Install standard flashing lights

CMF CRF(%)QualityCrash TypeCrash SeverityRoadway TypeArea Type
0.981.993 StarsAllONot specified
1.004-0.453 StarsAllA,B,CNot specified
1.003-0.283 StarsAllKNot specified
0.9990.143 StarsAllAllNot specified
1.003-0.33 StarsAllONot specified
0.9940.563 StarsAllA,B,CNot specified
1.001-0.093 StarsAllKNot specified
0.9980.183 StarsAllAllNot specified

Countermeasure: Install stop sign at highway-rail crossing

CMF CRF(%)QualityCrash TypeCrash SeverityRoadway TypeArea Type
1.005-0.483 StarsAllONot specified
1.004-0.393 StarsAllA,B,CNot specified
1.002-0.193 StarsAllKNot specified
1.011-1.063 StarsAllAllNot specified
1.001-0.143 StarsAllONot specified
0.9980.223 StarsAllA,B,CNot specified
0.9990.093 StarsAllKNot specified
0.9980.163 StarsAllAllNot specified